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		<title>Another Quagmire in the Middle East: Iran-U.S. war</title>
		<link>https://hilltopmonitor.jewell.edu/another-quagmire-in-the-middle-east-iran-u-s-war/</link>
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		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Matthew Parker]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 31 Mar 2026 20:07:17 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Issue 12]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[National & Global]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Volume 40]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[global]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Iran]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[khamenei]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[matthew parker]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[news]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[trump]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[united states]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://hilltopmonitor.jewell.edu/?p=20776</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[The Trump administration’s foreign policy decisions have thrust the United States into another armed conflict with a hostile foreign nation that happens to have significant&#8230; ]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[
<figure class="wp-block-image size-cvmm-medium"><img fetchpriority="high" decoding="async" width="300" height="300" src="https://hilltopmonitor.jewell.edu/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/omid-armin-Z4YEWYlD-tY-unsplash-300x300.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-20777" srcset="https://hilltopmonitor.jewell.edu/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/omid-armin-Z4YEWYlD-tY-unsplash-300x300.jpg 300w, https://hilltopmonitor.jewell.edu/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/omid-armin-Z4YEWYlD-tY-unsplash-600x600.jpg 600w, https://hilltopmonitor.jewell.edu/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/omid-armin-Z4YEWYlD-tY-unsplash-1024x1024.jpg 1024w" sizes="(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px" /><figcaption class="wp-element-caption"><em>Azadi Tower, Tehran, Iran. Photo by <a href="https://unsplash.com/@itsomidarmin?utm_source=unsplash&amp;utm_medium=referral&amp;utm_content=creditCopyText">omid armin</a> on <a href="https://unsplash.com/photos/beige-building-structure-Z4YEWYlD-tY?utm_source=unsplash&amp;utm_medium=referral&amp;utm_content=creditCopyText">Unsplash</a>.</em></figcaption></figure>



<p>The Trump administration’s foreign policy decisions have thrust the United States into another armed conflict with a hostile foreign nation that happens to have significant amounts of oil. However, where the operation in Venezuela took less than three hours, the current war on Iran is rapidly turning into a long-term military engagement, with no clear war aims and no evident win condition for the United States despite rising death tolls and serious infrastructure damage not only for Iran but also for the United States, NATO allies, and other Middle Eastern nations. Let’s briefly discuss the what, the why, and the future of the Iran war.</p>



<p><strong>Operation Epic Fury</strong></p>



<p>The attacks against Iran, known by the United States as Operation Epic Fury and by Israel as Operation Roaring Lion, began with a quite literal bang. A massive surprise wave of airstrikes, launched by both the United States and Israel, targeted military and government sites across Iran. This wave included a series of decapitation strikes aimed at assassinating key Iranian leaders, including the supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. Other strikes hit civilian infrastructure, including one Tomahawk missile that landed in <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/11/us/politics/iran-school-missile-strike.html">a girls’ primary school</a>, killing 170 civilians.</p>



<p>The U.S. Navy has also begun to deploy submarines into anti-ship warfare. The Iranian warship <a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/sri-lanka-rescues-30-people-board-distressed-iranian-ship-foreign-minister-says-2026-03-04/">IRIS Dena</a> was struck by a torpedo in international waters off the coast of Sri Lanka, an attack that Secretary of Defense Hegseth rapidly announced was the result of an American submarine. Several sources <a href="https://www.wbur.org/onpoint/2026/03/10/iran-war-without-rules-hegseth">have reported</a> that the <em>Dena</em> was returning from a multinational naval drill organized by India and was not armed for war, though this does not mean that sinking it constituted a war crime. As a hostile nation’s ship in international waters, the <em>Dena</em> was a legitimate military target. It was just one of many Iranian ships destroyed early in the war, with the U.S. reporting that at least 30 Iranian ships had been sunk over the first week of the conflict.</p>



<p>Iranian retaliation was swift, aggressive and wide-ranging. Within the first 24 hours, Iranian missiles had hit <a href="https://www.cfr.org/articles/gauging-the-impact-of-massive-u-s-israeli-strikes-on-iran">seven countries</a> across the Middle East, largely targeting U.S. military bases but also hitting major civilian infrastructure. Dubai International Airport (hub of Emirates and the busiest airport on the planet in terms of international passengers) and the UAE’s largest port and oil export facility were <a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/crl4gxgkkylo">targeted</a> by Iranian drone attacks.&nbsp;</p>



<p>While American losses have been limited in comparison to those suffered by Iran, the U.S. military has not gone without losses. <a href="https://time.com/article/2026/03/10/us-service-members-killed-iran-war-casualties/">Time reported</a> that 13 servicemembers from the American military had been killed in action during the conflict and approximately 200 have been injured. <a href="https://www.centcom.mil/MEDIA/PRESS-RELEASES/Press-Release-View/Article/4418568/three-us-f-15s-involved-in-friendly-fire-incident-in-kuwait-pilots-safe/">Three American F-15s</a> have been shot down by Kuwaiti air defenses in a friendly fire incident, and there are also reports that Iranian anti-air fire has <a href="https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/23/has-iran-brought-down-an-unkillable-us-f-35-jet">damaged</a> an American F-35. If true, this would be the first known instance of an F-35 fighter jet being damaged by enemy fire. This last report is, however, poorly substantiated, so it’s unclear if Iranian attacks caused that damage.</p>



<p><strong>Uncertain objectives</strong></p>



<p>While the events of the war have been comparatively well documented, the objectives of the conflict are uncertain. The U.S. Central Command describes Operation Epic Fury as intending to <a href="https://www.centcom.mil/OPERATIONS-AND-EXERCISES/EPIC-FURY/?dvpmoduleid=41413&amp;dvpTag=effects">“dismantle the Iranian regime&#8217;s security apparatus, prioritizing locations that pose an imminent threat.”</a> The Trump administration’s press releases have consistently emphasized that the operation is aimed at destroying Iran’s capacity to wage war and its ability to build a nuclear bomb. It is worth noting that the U.S. had previously hit several Iranian nuclear sites during a targeted bombing campaign in June 2015, after which administration officials claimed that Iran’s nuclear program had been <a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iranian-nuclear-program-degraded-by-up-two-years-pentagon-says-2025-07-02/">set back by at least a year</a>.&nbsp;</p>



<p>The administration’s claims about Operation Epic Fury have been consistent, but President Trump’s statements about the war indicate a far wider range of aims. After the opening strikes, Trump announced that the Iranian people had been given an opportunity to revolt and take down their regime. Trump has also claimed that the war will continue until the U.S. manages to achieve peace in the Middle East, though both this claim and his emphasis on regime change have been walked back steadily as the war has dragged on. Where Trump has stopped advocating for regime change in Iran and seems to acknowledge that a public uprising is unlikely, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/18/world/middleeast/israel-strikes-iran-war-regime-change.html">continues</a> to advocate revolution, and this divide in aims may create a rift between the allies in the coming weeks.</p>



<p><strong>Out with Khamenei, in with… Khamenei?</strong></p>



<p>If the objective of the joint American/Israeli campaign was regime change, its effectiveness has been limited despite promising early signs. Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, the Iranian supreme leader, was killed in the opening minutes by an Israeli missile strike, with <a href="https://www.cbsnews.com/news/cia-intelligence-us-israel-strike-ayatollah-ali-khamenei-iran/">CIA intel</a> leading Israeli missile strikes directly to Khamenei’s location. Numerous key figures in the Iranian government and the Islamic Revolutionary Guard were also killed in the first round of strikes, with Israeli intelligence reporting the deaths of <a href="https://www.cbsnews.com/news/ayatollah-khamenei-dead-iranian-supreme-leader-us-israel-military-mission/">seven key officials</a>, including one of the Ayatollah’s key advisors.</p>



<p>While Ali Khamenei may be dead, the Iranian government remains firmly under control of the same Islamic regime as before. The Ayatollah’s son, Mojtaba Khamenei, has been selected to replace his father as the head of the Iranian state. There is some evidence that the senior Khamenei was <a href="https://www.cbsnews.com/news/us-intelligence-iran-supreme-leader-mojtaba-khamenei-father-sources-say/">uncertain</a> about giving power to his son, but in his absence, Mojtaba was the clear choice of leader, and with much of his family dead from American and Israeli bombing campaigns, many predict him to be a strict hardliner on the current war, unlikely to bow to international pressure.</p>



<p>The junior Khamenei, however, has recently been difficult to find. The Wall Street Journal <a href="https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/where-is-mojtaba-khamenei-iran-fills-the-gap-with-ai-and-voice-overs-912b3827">reports</a> that Khamenei has not been heard from or seen since his selection as supreme leader, with press releases read by journalists and AI-generated social media profile photos. It’s unclear why exactly Mojtaba Khamenei has been so reclusive, though Trump administration leaders believe that he may have been <a href="https://www.cbsnews.com/news/us-intelligence-iran-supreme-leader-mojtaba-khamenei-father-sources-say/">wounded</a>, or possibly even killed, in the airstrike campaign.</p>



<p><strong>The Strait of Hormuz and oil prices</strong></p>



<p>While this war may have begun as a decapitation effort to promote regime change, the main focus is now the Strait of Hormuz. This strait, with Iran to its north and the UAE and Oman to its south, is a vital hub of global trade, with nearly 150 ships sailing through it each day prior to the current conflict. The BBC has reported that <a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c4geg0eeyjeo">20 ships</a> have been attacked off the Iranian coast since the start of the war, while the average daily number of ships passing through the strait has dropped from 150 to under 6. Oil prices have also skyrocketed to over $100, reaching prices not seen since 2022 during the early stages of Russia&#8217;s invasion of Ukraine.</p>



<p>Re-opening the strait has now become a significant aim of the American war effort, with Trump <a href="https://www.npr.org/2026/03/25/nx-s1-5759721/how-trumps-iran-war-objectives-have-shifted-over-time">pledging</a> to use American naval ships to escort tankers through the strait. He has also called on American allies to send their own ships to the strait, though no concrete efforts have been made by other nations so far.</p>



<p><strong>Prospects for peace</strong></p>



<p>With the son of the assassinated Supreme Leader now in command of Iran, and with both Israel and the United States seemingly unwilling to commit to thorough negotiations, the odds of a peace deal coming to fruition soon are not high. However, in the last few days Trump appears to have shifted his view and become more tolerant of a potential peace deal. During a press conference on Mar. 24, he mentioned that the Iranians had given <a href="https://newrepublic.com/post/208131/trump-mystery-present-iran-changed-mind-war">“a very big present”</a> that had helped move him towards accepting a potential peace deal.</p>



<p>Despite this move, the two sides are still no closer to an actual deal. The American peace plan <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/25/us/politics/iran-peace-plan-talks-trump.html">reportedly requires</a> Iran to give up all its nuclear capabilities (both for civilian-grade power plants and nuclear weapons) and limit its ballistic missile program, while Iran demanded that the United States recognize its authority over the Strait of Hormuz and pay reparations for damages inflicted in the war. Israel, meanwhile, continues to push for extending the war. Israeli officials have said that Israel will need <a href="https://www.npr.org/2026/03/24/nx-s1-5759317/israel-iran-war">several more weeks</a> to achieve their primary war aims, and that there are further military and governmental targets within Iran that they would like to eliminate.&nbsp;</p>



<p>With the inconsistency of President Trump’s own claims about the war, vacillating between sending additional forces to the region and declaring the war to be effectively over, it is hard to know exactly where the future leads. Productive talks appear unlikely, especially as <a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/live/cn8dldl0jx9t">Iran states</a> that they have no intention to negotiate at this point and do not trust the American side to negotiate authentically. Peace, at this point, will most likely involve both parties making some concessions; the real challenge will be forcing American, Israeli, and Iranian leadership to accept concessions.</p>
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		<title>The New Normal: Venezuela Two Months Later</title>
		<link>https://hilltopmonitor.jewell.edu/the-new-normal-venezuela-two-months-later/</link>
					<comments>https://hilltopmonitor.jewell.edu/the-new-normal-venezuela-two-months-later/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Matthew Parker]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 06 Mar 2026 20:15:07 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Issue 11]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[National & Global]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Volume 40]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[issue 11]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[maduro]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[matthew]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[matthew parker]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[news]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[trump]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[venezuela]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://hilltopmonitor.jewell.edu/?p=20742</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[On Jan. 3, 2026, the United States launched a devastating military strike against Venezuela, destroying key military infrastructure and capturing the Venezuelan president, Nicolás Maduro,&#8230; ]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[
<figure class="wp-block-image size-cvmm-medium"><img decoding="async" width="300" height="300" src="https://hilltopmonitor.jewell.edu/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/bona-lee-8Pm2WioMBBQ-unsplash-300x300.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-20711" srcset="https://hilltopmonitor.jewell.edu/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/bona-lee-8Pm2WioMBBQ-unsplash-300x300.jpg 300w, https://hilltopmonitor.jewell.edu/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/bona-lee-8Pm2WioMBBQ-unsplash-600x600.jpg 600w, https://hilltopmonitor.jewell.edu/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/bona-lee-8Pm2WioMBBQ-unsplash-1024x1024.jpg 1024w" sizes="(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px" /><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Bona Lee/Unsplash</figcaption></figure>



<p>On Jan. 3, 2026, the United States launched a devastating military strike against Venezuela, destroying key military infrastructure and capturing the Venezuelan president, Nicolás Maduro, along with his wife Cilia Flores. Maduro was brought to the United States, where he was arraigned on <a href="https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl">federal charges</a> of narco-terrorism and mass scale corruption, charges <a href="https://www.justice.gov/archives/opa/pr/nicol-s-maduro-moros-and-14-current-and-former-venezuelan-officials-charged-narco-terrorism">first levied in 2020</a>. With nearly two months having elapsed and the current state of Venezuela having largely fallen out of the news cycle, it’s worth looking back at the Venezuela story and seeing how things have progressed.</p>



<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Maduro’s court case</h3>



<p>The first few days after Maduro’s capture were a flurry of court activity, with his official arraignment taking place on <a href="https://www.cbsnews.com/live-updates/venezuela-trump-maduro-charges/">January 5<sup>th</sup></a>, less than three days after his capture. The Department of Justice alleges that Maduro has engaged in a <a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cwyndnqqey5o">cocaine-trafficking conspiracy</a>, including working with several cartels that the Trump administration designated as foreign terrorist organizations. The charges also include weapons-related charges around Maduro’s alleged use of illicitly obtained weaponry. The indictment also charged four other members of the Venezuelan government, none of whom were apprehended during the strike on Jan. 3.</p>



<p>Maduro and Flores pleaded <a href="https://www.cbsnews.com/news/maduro-court-says-not-guilty-im-a-decent-man-drug-trafficking-charges/">not guilty</a> on all counts, with Maduro claiming that he is “a decent man” who is still the Venezuelan president (a position that the Venezuelan government has not yet revoked) and that he is a “prisoner of war.” Lawyers for the couple acknowledged that Maduro and Flores were in good spirits given the circumstances and that there was a long way to go in the case.</p>



<p>However, now that legal proceedings are underway, progress on the case has slowed. After their initial arraignment, their next hearing is set for March 17<sup>th</sup>, and neither Maduro nor his wife has tried to set bail. The most noteworthy development in recent weeks is that Argentina has <a href="https://apnews.com/article/argentina-maduro-milei-trump-extradition-universal-jurisdiction-f1c51e062ebe8a4973136120d32960c6">requested Maduro’s extradition</a>, with Argentinian authorities hoping to try Maduro on charges of crimes against humanity and human rights violations. While Argentina and the US have an extradition treaty, it’s unlikely that an extradition will happen, especially with Maduro already awaiting a trial in the United States.</p>



<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Venezuela’s political developments</h3>



<p>With Maduro <em>de facto</em> removed from power, leadership in Venezuela has passed to his second-in-command <a href="https://www.ictj.org/latest-news/delcy-rodriguez-sworn-venezuela%E2%80%99s-president-after-maduro-abduction">Delcy Rodríguez</a>, who was sworn in as acting president on Jan. 5. The Venezuelan government remains under the control of Maduro’s United Socialist Party, and notable opposition leaders, including Nobel Peace Prize winner Marina Corina Machado, remain either in exile or out of power despite attempts to curry favor with the Trump administration.</p>



<p>On the American side, the operation to remove Maduro was spearheaded by Secretary of State Marco Rubio. Rubio has long desired the removal of several left-wing authoritarian regimes from Latin America, including that of Maduro. Since Maduro’s removal, Rubio has overseen building American relations with Rodríguez and steering the Venezuelan government towards friendlier relations with America and American business interests. Energy Secretary Chris Wright has likewise played a key role in developing a plan around Venezuela’s oil industry, attempting to coordinate new investment from major firms such as Chevron and ExxonMobil.</p>



<p>Maduro’s removal has not changed much about the leadership of Venezuela, but new political pressures from the United States have produced some movement in Venezuelan policy, including a new <a href="https://www.cnn.com/2026/01/30/americas/venezuela-amnesty-law-political-prisoners-latam-intl">amnesty law</a> for political prisoners. Pushed through by Rodríguez, the amnesty law would release prisoners jailed for political crimes, though not those imprisoned on charges of homicide, corruption or drug offenses. The President of Venezuela’s National Assembly confirmed that over <a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/more-than-1550-requests-have-been-received-under-venezuela-amnesty-law-2026-02-21/">fifteen hundred applications</a> for amnesty have been received under the new law, while critics of the law argue that the exceptions for certain offenses, particularly corruption, permit the Venezuelan state to keep key opposition figures jailed.</p>



<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Following the Oil Money</h3>



<p>In the immediate aftermath of the Jan. 3 raid, the fate of Venezuela’s massive oil reserves became a key question. Trump rapidly declared that the United States would be seizing Venezuelan oil reserves, with Venezuela turning over <a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c4grxzxjjd8o">50 million barrels</a> of oil to the US. Trump asserted on a Truth Social post that he would control any proceeds from the sale of Venezuelan oil, and that he would use it to “benefit the people of Venezuela and the United States.”&nbsp;</p>



<p>According to numerous reports, the Trump administration sent half a billion dollars in proceeds from oil sales into a Qatari bank account controlled by the US government. This proposal generated significant backlash, and the administration has since pivoted. Secretary Wright <a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2026/02/13/venezuela-oil-sales-qatar-chris-wright-trump.html">announced</a> at a press conference on Feb. 13 that the money from the Venezuelan oil sales will now be sent to a newly formed account at the U.S. Treasury. Wright, speaking from Venezuela at a joint conference with interim president Rodríguez, further announced that sales of Venezuelan oil had exceeded $1 billion since Maduro’s abduction, and that an additional $5 billion of sales are expected in the coming months.Democrats and outside observers have been sharply critical of the handling of both Venezuelan oil reserves and the proceeds from their sale. <a href="https://democrats-foreignaffairs.house.gov/2026/2/meeks-presses-state-department-for-documents-on-qatar-account-holding-venezuela-s-oil-revenue">Democratic lawmakers</a> have pressured the Trump administration to provide more information on how oil proceeds, particularly those that have been routed through Qatar, have been used. The administration’s own handling of the funds has been largely unexplained, and this lack of transparency is a significant worry for the future both of Venezuela and of trust in the US government.</p>
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		<title>The Heritage Foundation and America: what comes next? </title>
		<link>https://hilltopmonitor.jewell.edu/the-heritage-foundation-and-america-what-comes-next/</link>
					<comments>https://hilltopmonitor.jewell.edu/the-heritage-foundation-and-america-what-comes-next/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Alee Dickey]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 06 Mar 2026 19:55:03 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Issue 11]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[National & Global]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Volume 40]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[alee]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[alee dickey]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[debunking]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[heritage foundation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[news]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[project 2025]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[republicans]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[trump]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[usa]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://hilltopmonitor.jewell.edu/?p=20726</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[What is the Heritage Foundation?  The Heritage Foundation is a powerful conservative think tank founded in 1973 that writes ready-made policy blueprints for Republican lawmakers&#8230; ]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[
<figure class="wp-block-image size-cvmm-medium"><img decoding="async" width="300" height="300" src="https://hilltopmonitor.jewell.edu/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/klaus-kreuer-qE6BF2CA0I0-unsplash-300x300.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-20727" srcset="https://hilltopmonitor.jewell.edu/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/klaus-kreuer-qE6BF2CA0I0-unsplash-300x300.jpg 300w, https://hilltopmonitor.jewell.edu/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/klaus-kreuer-qE6BF2CA0I0-unsplash-600x600.jpg 600w, https://hilltopmonitor.jewell.edu/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/klaus-kreuer-qE6BF2CA0I0-unsplash-1024x1024.jpg 1024w" sizes="(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px" /><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Photo by <a href="https://unsplash.com/@bilderjaeger?utm_source=unsplash&amp;utm_medium=referral&amp;utm_content=creditCopyText">Klaus Kreuer</a> on <a href="https://unsplash.com/photos/gray-concrete-staircase-in-grayscale-photography-qE6BF2CA0I0?utm_source=unsplash&amp;utm_medium=referral&amp;utm_content=creditCopyText">Unsplash</a>.</figcaption></figure>



<h3 class="wp-block-heading"><strong>What is the Heritage Foundation? </strong></h3>



<p>The <a href="https://www.ebsco.com/research-starters/science/heritage-foundation">Heritage Foundation</a> is a powerful conservative think tank founded in 1973 that writes ready-made policy blueprints for Republican lawmakers and presidents. It promotes Christian conservative social values and aggressive executive power. Though it is a private organization, it has outsized influence in shaping federal policy—most recently as the architect of <a href="https://static.heritage.org/project2025/2025_MandateForLeadership_FULL.pdf">Project 2025.</a> Its influence during the second Trump presidency has been especially direct; an <a href="https://www.desmog.com/2025/06/02/map-70-percent-trump-cabinet-tie-project-2025-heritage-afpi-convention-states-dunn-doge/">analysis by DeSmog</a> found that more than 50 high-level Trump administration officials had links to the organization. </p>



<h3 class="wp-block-heading"><strong>What is Project 2025?</strong> </h3>



<p>Project 2025 is a sweeping conservative policy blueprint created by the Heritage Foundation to prepare for a Republican presidency after the 2024 presidential election. The project calls for limiting abortion access, rolling back LGBTQ+ protections, eliminating diversity and equity programs, weakening the Department of Education, and redefining federal policy around a traditional, heterosexual model of family and marriage.</p>



<p>Since Trump took office, significant portions of this agenda have been implemented; in fact, most estimates say more <a href="https://reproductivefreedomforall.org/resources/tracking-project-2025-how-much-has-been-implemented-so-far/">than 50%</a> of the project has been completed. Initiatives proposed by Project 2025 include:</p>



<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li>Issuing a series of executive orders dismantling Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion (DEI) initiatives across federal agencies</li>



<li>Instructing the Equal Employment Opportunity Commission (EEOC) to scale back investigations into race- and sex-based discrimination, weakening federal enforcement of civil rights protections</li>



<li>Terminating tens of thousands of federal employees, significantly reducing the size and capacity of the federal workforce</li>



<li>Using law enforcement agencies to aggressively target immigrant communities, expanding surveillance, detention, and deportation efforts</li>



<li>Barring Planned Parenthood from receiving Medicaid funds, restricting access to reproductive healthcare for low-income individuals</li>



<li>Eliminating more than $800 million in federal funding dedicated to research on LGBTQ+ health, undermining efforts to understand and address disparities within the community</li>
</ul>



<h3 class="wp-block-heading"><strong>What Comes Next?</strong></h3>



<p>While much attention has focused on how the Trump administration <a href="https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/tracking-how-much-of-project-2025-the-trump-administration-achieved-this-year">implemented substantial portions of Project 2025</a>, those actions now function primarily as context. The more pressing issue is what comes next.</p>



<p>In <a href="https://www.heritage.org/sites/default/files/2026-01/SR323.pdf">Saving America by Saving the Family: A Foundation for the Next 250 Years</a>, published by The Heritage Foundation argues that the restoration of the traditional heterosexual family is essential to national renewal. Framed as a pro-family policy blueprint, the report proposes sweeping reforms to welfare, tax policy, family law, and cultural institutions. The most distressing element of the report is its willingness to restructure social welfare around a single normative vision of marriage.</p>



<h3 class="wp-block-heading"><strong>A New (Old) Understanding of Family</strong></h3>



<p>The report situates family support as central to national survival, claiming, “The family is the foundation of civilization, and marriage — the committed union of one man and one woman — is its cornerstone.” By positioning one family model as morally and politically superior, these proposals expand government influence into private life and legitimize intrusive interventions into intimate decisions.</p>



<p>The Heritage Foundation advances a deeply regressive vision of American life by arguing that marriage (not personal growth, education, or professional achievement) should be the primary marker of adult success. The report laments that modern culture encourages young people to delay marriage in favor of career development, complaining that</p>



<blockquote class="wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow">
<p>“For most previous generations, marriage was the foundation of adulthood. In contrast, today’s cultural narrative teaches young people to delay marriage and focus on career and personal achievements first. Many now consider marriage a capstone to adult life, something only to be accomplished once career and other personal goals have been achieved.”</p>
</blockquote>



<p>What the report frames as cultural decline is, in reality, the expansion of opportunity, particularly for women, who now have the ability to pursue education and financial independence before entering marriage. By portraying career ambition and self-development as threats to social order, the report romanticizes a past in which economic dependence and rigid gender roles were the norm.</p>



<p>The document goes further, openly villainizing online dating, pornography, sexual freedom, abortion, and no-fault divorce as drivers of family breakdown. It blames the social transformations of the 1960s, arguing that&nbsp;</p>



<blockquote class="wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow">
<p>“The disruptions to American family life caused by bad public policy in the 1960s were exacerbated by cultural upheavals that radically changed social norms around sex, sexuality, marriage, children, and gender roles. Second-wave feminism and the sexual revolution promoted an individualistic, child-free, marriage-free, sexual ‘liberation’…”</p>
</blockquote>



<p>In this telling, feminism and expanded sexual autonomy are not historic advancements in civil rights but catastrophic mistakes. The report treats women’s independence, reproductive choice, and the ability to leave unhappy marriages as social decline rather than progress. By condemning no-fault divorce and abortion alongside “casual sex,” it reveals a broader desire to reinstate moral and legal pressures that would make exiting marriage or avoiding it altogether more difficult.</p>



<p>Perhaps most telling is the report’s hostility toward higher education. It claims that college represents “extended adolescence” and argues that “[m]ore education correlates with later marriage, fewer children.” Rather than acknowledging that economic instability, student debt, and labor market changes shape young adults’ timelines, the report implies that education itself is the problem. In effect, it frames intellectual development and economic mobility as obstacles to the “natural” order of early marriage and childbearing. The logic is clear: independence delays marriage, and delayed marriage is treated as a national crisis.</p>



<h3 class="wp-block-heading"><strong>Welfare and Economic Reform</strong></h3>



<p>The report also calls for eliminating marriage penalties in state welfare, arguing that current programs discourage marriage by financially disadvantaging married couples compared with single parents. As the report states:</p>



<blockquote class="wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow">
<p>“All children conceived deserve to be born to their mothers and fathers in a committed marriage who will love, guide, and protect them throughout their lives. Therefore, at a minimum, policies should not discourage or penalize marriage. Policy should instead affirmatively support and privilege marriage as directly and explicitly as possible.”</p>
</blockquote>



<p>While framed as a means to promote social and economic stability, this approach distorts the reality of poverty: it reduces support for single parents (disproportionately low-income women) and assumes that marital status is the primary driver of economic insecurity, oversimplifying the systemic issues that contribute to financial hardship.&nbsp;</p>



<p>Similarly, the report advocates reforming alimony and spousal support by capping payments to the length of the marriage and favoring lump-sum settlements. Though presented as fairness reform, this policy would disproportionately harm stay-at-home spouses, often women, who sacrificed careers to provide caregiving and often face difficulty in re-entering the workforce.</p>



<p>The report also promotes support for stay-at-home parenting through Home Childcare Equalization (HCE) credits, intended to encourage one parent to remain at home. This policy reinforces traditional gender roles and limits flexibility for modern work-family arrangements, potentially pressuring parents into unpaid caregiving to qualify for benefits. Beyond economic incentives, the report seeks to influence reproductive behavior, emphasizing policies that encourage childbearing within marriage and framing declining birth rates as a national problem. As the report asks, “What happens to a nation when its citizens largely stop having children?… These questions are not theoretical,” illustrating its view of fertility as a matter of national urgency.</p>



<p>Taken together, the report constructs a narrative in which sexual freedom, feminism, reproductive rights, educational attainment, and personal autonomy are to blame for social decline. It does not merely advocate for supporting families—it seeks to discipline modern life back into a narrow, heteronormative and marriage-centered model. What it labels “saving America” is, in practice, an attempt to roll back decades of expanded freedom, particularly for women and LGBTQ+ individuals. Rather than addressing structural economic inequality, stagnant wages, childcare costs, or healthcare access, the report chooses to scapegoat cultural progress and personal autonomy. Its vision of restoration depends not on expanding opportunity, but on constraining it.</p>



<h3 class="wp-block-heading"><strong>Why the New Phase Feels Different</strong></h3>



<p>The earlier implementation of Project 2025 policies demonstrated the feasibility of large-scale administrative shifts via executive action. That track record amplifies concern about the Heritage Foundation’s new proposals. The central shift is not merely about abortion, LGBTQ+ rights, or DEI programs individually. It is about whether the federal government adopts a singular, officially endorsed definition of family and social order and structures funding, civil rights enforcement and educational policy around that definition.</p>
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		<title>AI Psychosis, Delusions, and the Digital Condition</title>
		<link>https://hilltopmonitor.jewell.edu/ai-psychosis-delusions-and-the-digital-condition/</link>
					<comments>https://hilltopmonitor.jewell.edu/ai-psychosis-delusions-and-the-digital-condition/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Rowen Murray]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 17 Nov 2025 21:30:39 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Issue 6]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[National & Global]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Volume 40]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ai]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[artificial intelligence]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[chatgpt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[news]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[psychological science]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[psychosis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rowen]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rowen murray]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://hilltopmonitor.jewell.edu/?p=20593</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[According to the Merriam Webster Dictionary, psychosis is defined as “a serious mental illness characterized by defective or lost contact with reality often with hallucinations&#8230; ]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[
<figure class="wp-block-image size-medium"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="333" height="500" src="https://hilltopmonitor.jewell.edu/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/sehoon-ye-jWvgKj81z2M-unsplash-333x500.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-20594" srcset="https://hilltopmonitor.jewell.edu/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/sehoon-ye-jWvgKj81z2M-unsplash-333x500.jpg 333w, https://hilltopmonitor.jewell.edu/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/sehoon-ye-jWvgKj81z2M-unsplash-683x1024.jpg 683w, https://hilltopmonitor.jewell.edu/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/sehoon-ye-jWvgKj81z2M-unsplash-768x1152.jpg 768w, https://hilltopmonitor.jewell.edu/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/sehoon-ye-jWvgKj81z2M-unsplash-1024x1536.jpg 1024w, https://hilltopmonitor.jewell.edu/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/sehoon-ye-jWvgKj81z2M-unsplash-1365x2048.jpg 1365w, https://hilltopmonitor.jewell.edu/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/sehoon-ye-jWvgKj81z2M-unsplash-400x600.jpg 400w, https://hilltopmonitor.jewell.edu/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/sehoon-ye-jWvgKj81z2M-unsplash-scaled.jpg 1707w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 333px) 100vw, 333px" /><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Photo by <a href="https://unsplash.com/@_3bread?utm_source=unsplash&amp;utm_medium=referral&amp;utm_content=creditCopyText">sehoon ye</a> on <a href="https://unsplash.com/photos/a-person-wearing-a-black-hat-and-covering-his-face-with-a-white-mask-jWvgKj81z2M?utm_source=unsplash&amp;utm_medium=referral&amp;utm_content=creditCopyText">Unsplash</a>.</figcaption></figure>



<p>According to <a href="https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/psychosis">the Merriam Webster Dictionary</a>, psychosis is defined as “a serious mental illness characterized by defective or lost contact with reality often with hallucinations or delusions.” Traditionally, mental health researchers have concluded that psychosis can have a wide variety of causes, generally linked to underlying mental health conditions, or in fact no medically defined cause at all, <a href="https://www.nimh.nih.gov/health/publications/understanding-psychosis">as the National Institute of Mental Health affirms</a>. A definitive symptom of psychosis is delusion, wherein a patient seriously believes in and acts according to a clearly false belief. Delusion as a concept is already a subject of academic interest because of the vagueness in determining whether something is a belief or a delusion (for example, an atheist might call a religion false, but not delusional; and someone who did believe in a religion wouldn’t normally label atheism&nbsp; “delusional”).</p>



<p>Nonetheless, an interesting development has made headlines in psychiatric circles regarding AI chatbots and their tendency to reinforce delusional beliefs. This phenomenon, known unofficially as “AI Psychosis,” emerged when users of chatbots began to manifest delusions that the chatbots had seemingly encouraged. The effects of this problem are already felt in some exceptional cases. Last year <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/23/technology/characterai-lawsuit-teen-suicide.html">a teen committed suicide</a> after becoming involved in an obsessive relationship with a chatbot. Earlier this year a Yahoo executive murdered his mother after ChatGPT <a href="https://abc7ny.com/post/chatgpt-allegedly-played-role-greenwich-connecticut-murder-suicide-mother-tech-exec-son/17721940/">affirmed delusions</a> that she was a Chinese intelligence agent.&nbsp;</p>



<p>Nonetheless, these cases are rare, and recent articles on AI psychosis claim that underlying conditions are responsible for these delusions, not just chatbots. For example, <a href="https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214782925000831">a recent paper</a> by Carlbring and Andersson on the subject argues that AI, as a stimulus to delusion, is nothing new; all sorts of media(movies, music, books) is incorporated into psychosis and delusion. Ultimately, the articles argue that underlying mental issues are at work—AI psychosis is only different from other traditional forms of delusional ideation in that there is more “interactivity.” They suggest we should tackle AI psychosis by limiting the ability of AI to amplify delusions. Suggestions for accomplishing this include adding a psychiatric persona to chatbots to provide therapy to delusional users, preventing chatbots from saying things that could augment delusions, and recommending help to users who exhibit delusional prompting.&nbsp;</p>



<p>Preventing AI from exacerbating delusion is easier said than done. AI is purposely constructed to <a href="https://www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog/urban-survival/202507/the-emerging-problem-of-ai-psychosis">mirror its users</a>. The reasoning behind this is capitalistic in nature: AI must appeal to the consumer, so the focus in AI development is <a href="https://www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog/urban-survival/202507/the-emerging-problem-of-ai-psychosis">not necessarily on intelligence</a> but rather on user satisfaction. In this basic sense, restrictions to the mirroring behavior of AI are actively harmful to the profitability of that AI. Those restrictions that do exist are ostensible- AI can be tricked, and those with cross-chat “memories” like ChatGPT are prone to internalizing delusions.</p>



<p>In the first place, it might be important to consider what a delusion is in the first place, and how they tend to form. The founding definition for delusion was given by the psychiatrist Karl Jaspers, <a href="https://archive.org/details/generalpsychopat0000unse/page/n7/mode/2up">who argued</a> that delusions were characterized as unchangeable beliefs held with absolute certainty, despite being false in a way that undercuts the most basic rationality; hence, delusions are beliefs which are completely impossible to understand from the perspective of a rational observer. Freud thought that delusions were a return to the infantile state wherein one is less concerned with what is real and more concerned with what is pleasurable. Kraepelin, A founding figure of scientific psychiatry, thought that the delusional subject is simply characterized by a severe cognitive malfunction traceable to the biological makeup of the brain. Post-structuralist thinkers, like Deleuze and Nietzsche, argued that delusional people were simply acting outside of acceptable norms and choose to affirm their own irrationality in the face of oppressive social conventions.</p>



<p>Nonetheless, none of these theories explain how a delusion develops in an otherwise normal person, who has no underlying mental health conditions and who also doesn’t find themself in opposition to dominant norms. What is necessary is to look at how delusion develops as knowledge; that is, to see how a delusional belief is generated, rather than to assume that people with or without underlying conditions are simply acting in an irrational manner and accepting any belief as given.</p>



<p>Thomas Fuchs, a professor of psychiatry and philosophy at the University of Heidelberg, has <a href="https://journals.openedition.org/phenomenology/1379">a much more concrete model</a> for showing how delusions are generated. Fuchs does not define a delusion specifically by its content, but rather by the process through which it originates. He argues that a delusion is the product of a complete breakdown in intersubjective reality. The idea is relatively simple in general terms: we want to know things, but we know that we might not be correct in our own beliefs, so we divert to the judgement of others to tell us what is and isn’t real.&nbsp;</p>



<p>Reality is enacted through the understanding we share with other people. On the one hand, there are a set of basic assumptions about rationality and the world which are shared between most people, assumptions that the delusional subject may lose touch with. On the other hand, there is the fact that we often use others as a check to our own knowledge; meaning, language, and reality are all communal constructs. Intersubjectivity, the shared awareness of the validity of other people’s perceptions and thoughts, is notably lacking in many delusional subjects. In fact, while initially people suffering from psychosis acknowledge the non-reality of their delusions, eventually many retreat into themselves and lose touch with others on a fundamental level.</p>



<p>What is particularly interesting about Fuchs’ analysis of delusion is the way he incorporates rationality into the delusional process. Most traditional theories of delusion place the delusional subject completely outside the sphere of normal thinking- the psycho-schizophrenic is just “different,” delusional as a result of their fundamentally abnormal mental constitution. Yet how much of delusion is fundamental, and how much can simply be explained through normal mental processes attempting to grapple with absurdity in the world? When a person loses access to the reality check which others give them, whether it be through an underlying condition such as schizophrenia, or through a more typical situation like social isolation, it does not automatically discount their ability to reason.&nbsp;</p>



<p>In fact, rational thinking is very often what generates delusion in the first place, especially where that rational thinking is not checked within the shared reality established through intersubjectivity. I mentioned earlier the example of a Yahoo executive who killed his mother and himself because he had come to the delusional idea that he was being stalked by Chinese agents—to us this appears crazy, but that&#8217;s not to say it appears irrational. Sure, the gang-stalking conclusion is incorrect, but it likely appears rational to the delusional subject, and rational methodology(ex: causality) is also at work in delusional people; however, their ability to partake in a shared social reality is heavily hampered by the emergence of a fundamental underlying division between their understanding of the world and our own, such as is established in schizophrenics, or such as may come about through prolonged isolation. As a result of this, the delusional subject is reasoning with inputs completely different from our own, reminiscent of rationality in the ancient world(ex: weather is created by gods, certain physical movements curse people, etc).</p>



<p>Nevertheless, there is no evidence that rationality itself is lost in the delusional subject—delusions are rationally justifiable, but based on absolutely absurd beliefs that would not come about if intersubjectivity could be maintained. However, I must emphasize that this way of thinking, wherein the appearance of rationality is maintained for the delusional subject, is oddly parallel to the way in which AI models think; AI can be persuaded to say anything, and to make anything rationally justifiable. AI works with the inputs it&#8217;s been given, reasoning through them, <em>regardless of the validity of these inputs</em>. In other words, AI can make anything appear rational, mirroring the delusional subject’s methodology.</p>



<p>The rise in AI fueled delusions is not attributable to underlying mental health concerns or a failure to restrict AI, but rather to the whole of the current digital condition, and the way in which this condition atomistically isolates and individualizes people to prevent intersubjective reality-checking. The fundamental prerequisite to establish an intersubjective reality is actual lived interaction with other people. In the modern era, interaction with others is mediated and controlled: a person can interact with others wholly over social media, can choose who to interact with, and control the nature of the interaction entirely. This results in a large class of people who isolate themselves from others by limiting their medium of social interaction. In fact, since the mediums of social interaction with others are wholly under the control of the person using things like social media, social interaction becomes an echo chamber, where many only interact with those who recognize and reflect them– that is, social interaction is no longer a grounds for difference but instead selfsameness.&nbsp;</p>



<p>Humans are social creatures, but when our need to interact with others is fulfilled through mediums under our control, like social media, it results in an echo chamber environment. AI, however, represents another development of this isolation process. For many people, especially the increasingly common person who is isolated through digital social interaction, AI is simply a confirmation machine. Within the realm of an intersubjectively established reality, AI presents itself as a subject, as an intelligent creature with verified knowledge. However, AI, as a program is designed to mirror its user, becomes the ultimate social partner for those who isolate themselves from real, lived interactions.&nbsp;</p>



<p>AI is not a real subject, it does not live in our world, nor can it provide the social check on our beliefs that real human interactions do provide. Instead it provides a parasocial check on our beliefs– that is AI appears capable of checking our beliefs, and thereby verifying them, when in fact it only mirrors beliefs. This means that AI can produce delusions in those who isolate themselves from society, because it magnifies and confirms their false beliefs and leads them to posit their wholly subjective delusions as real.</p>
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